Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 2.949153 3.257328 3.590184 3.977429 4.416826 4.901363 5.478095
2025-07-06 2.388767 2.779268 3.228831 3.788163 4.470242 5.281169 6.327499
2025-07-13 2.124164 2.568605 3.105322 3.808301 4.715285 5.860608 7.439833
2025-07-20 1.955433 2.439542 3.047418 3.878292 5.002591 6.497984 8.684019
2025-07-27 1.829440 2.343796 3.011610 3.958891 5.295756 7.158694 10.031758
2025-08-03 1.716515 2.250152 2.963423 4.008734 5.540314 7.766544 11.373535
2025-08-10 1.612801 2.157257 2.903914 4.030524 5.738159 8.318164 12.695127
2025-08-17 1.481864 2.014735 2.760928 3.914112 5.711898 8.517752 13.468183
2025-08-24 1.385972 1.913912 2.668126 3.860952 5.772216 8.852113 14.502963
2025-08-31 1.310039 1.835948 2.601702 3.839938 5.877340 9.264904 15.726396
2025-09-07 1.275277 1.815684 2.618811 3.949063 6.202348 10.080798 17.808001
2025-09-14 1.213430 1.750074 2.561107 3.931410 6.309434 10.523789 19.238840
2025-09-21 1.149448 1.678573 2.491346 3.891449 6.379713 10.918995 20.664081
2025-09-28 1.058950 1.560671 2.340661 3.703778 6.169853 10.768071 20.925918
2025-10-05 1.019190 1.520430 2.312199 3.722768 6.336571 11.356898 22.890903
2025-10-12 0.992237 1.498814 2.312281 3.790734 6.599898 12.167280 25.507587
2025-10-19 0.969082 1.481760 2.318372 3.869095 6.889889 13.068040 28.519676
2025-10-26 0.942127 1.456695 2.308906 3.917558 7.124866 13.881868 31.487526
2025-11-02 0.912380 1.425184 2.286093 3.938745 7.305865 14.600084 34.361912
2025-11-09 0.862902 1.357652 2.196279 3.825546 7.196842 14.648472 35.420063
2025-11-16 0.826526 1.310804 2.140454 3.773847 7.212628 14.987213 37.371653
2025-11-23 0.797259 1.274833 2.102067 3.753409 7.293537 15.490603 39.921114
2025-11-30 0.788161 1.273606 2.126440 3.859534 7.663304 16.750472 45.104973